Is oil’s run over? Is $85 too far, too fast for oil prices? Is too late to buy?

Investors are faced with a lot of touch questions about oil now. However, one little-known indicator is flashing “buy.” And the last time two times it did that oil prices more than doubled each time. Here’s the set-up.

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The market rally has reached an almost comically delusional high.

Bad news comes out. They say, “No problem. It was better than expected.” Market goes up.

Good news comes out. They say, “The recovery is real. There’s still time to get in. Don’t miss out.” Market goes up.

The market rally has been almost bulletproof and this earnings season has only made it stronger. Currently, 83% of S&P 500 companies that have reported have beaten analyst expectations. It’s on pace to be the best performance for earnings vs. estimates since 1993.

Expectation hurdles have been low set exceptionally, but in the current stage of the market rally any news is good news.

But it’s times like these, when the S&P 500 has had only seven down days in the last five weeks, when it’s time to look at when this rally will end. Because it will end. It will end badly. And history shows most investors will miss out on the further gains to be had and will go “all in” just in time for it all to fall apart.

Here are three ways to know when the rally is about to end.

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The current rally may have taken its last breath.

Last week two major events happened that will have a tremendous impact on your portfolio in the months and years ahead.

Last week, while the Dow continued its march higher and the mainstream financial media cheered on the rally, the most important market in the world took a major turn.

A few investors will be positioned to reap exceptional rewards while the herd will take a bigger hit to their bottom line than they did during the Panic of 2008.

Here’s what happened and what it means for the most important megatrend in the financial world.

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It has been described as a “stunning” reversal.

In reality though, the “reversal” is actually cementing one of the greatest investment opportunities of the next decade.

Last Wednesday the government announced it was opening up offshore waters to oil drilling and exploration.

It was hailed as great news by most of the media. The move to open new areas to oil exploration when oil’s at $80 a barrel appeared to be a great economic move and a greater political move.

But not all is what it seems. And a great investment opportunity was just turned into a greater one.

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Healthcare reform is now law.

Over the next decade the government will reach further into the private sector than it ever has before.

Despite the year of debate and non-stop selling of the program, there’s still a lot of uncertainty over the impact of the law.

All politics aside, we know a few things already.

First, it will not be nearly as good as proponents said it will be.

Second, it will not be as bad as opponents said it will be.

Third, over the long-run though, we know it will cost far more than projected. The expected tax revenues and savings will not materialize and spending will be greater than forecast.

Finally, as with all other government interventions, it will create opportunities and pitfalls for investors. The real opportunities, however, may surprise you.

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